Public Investors Missed the AI Growth, Baillie Gifford’s Singlehurst Says

Peter Singlehurst highlights Anthropic’s rapid growth and innovative approach to AI, emphasizing its strong enterprise adoption despite challenges, while noting the broader societal and regional differences in AI impact. He also stresses the importance of accessing high-growth private companies before they go public and expresses cautious optimism about emerging technologies like SpaceX’s orbital data centers alongside its established businesses.

In the discussion about Anthropic, Peter Singlehurst highlights the unprecedented rapid growth of the company, emphasizing its pioneering role in applying AI to real-world applications such as coding and cybersecurity. Despite some concerns, including Anthropic’s legal dispute with the U.S. Department of Defense, Singlehurst appreciates the company’s principled approach to safety and its ability to attract and retain key talent. He notes that Anthropic’s adoption rate and annual recurring revenue (ARR) are impressive, reflecting strong enterprise interest even amid geopolitical challenges.

Singlehurst also addresses the broader landscape of large language models (LLMs), noting that while advanced capabilities tend to trickle down from leading-edge models to others, companies like Anthropic and OpenAI distinguish themselves by maintaining a continuous edge in innovation. He expresses some concern about the eventual widespread availability of these powerful AI tools, which could pose risks to enterprises and governments due to potential misuse. However, he acknowledges that this technological evolution is inevitable and will have significant impacts on society over time.

Regarding the international perspective, Singlehurst observes that while the UK and Europe are aware of AI advancements, the cultural and economic resonance of these developments is stronger in the U.S., where technology plays a more dominant role in the economy. He suggests that the everyday person in the UK is unlikely to feel immediate effects from AI breakthroughs but will experience their influence in the coming months and years. This highlights a difference in how AI progress is perceived and integrated across regions.

The conversation then shifts to the importance of public market access to high-growth private companies like Anthropic, SpaceX, and ByteDance. Singlehurst stresses that much of the significant growth in these companies occurs before they go public, which can limit opportunities for everyday investors. By investing in both private and public markets, Baillie Gifford aims to provide clients with access to this growth, recognizing that traditional public markets alone no longer capture the full spectrum of innovation and expansion in the tech sector.

Finally, Singlehurst discusses the nascent concept of orbital data centers, particularly in relation to SpaceX’s potential IPO. He believes the market does not yet fully understand the economics or potential value of these space-based computing facilities. However, he is confident in the well-established economics of SpaceX’s launch business and Starlink satellite internet service. This underscores the early stage of some space technologies while acknowledging the strong foundation of SpaceX’s current operations.