The AI-bull market has a long way to go, says Intelligent Alpha's Doug Clinton

Doug Clinton, CEO of Intelligent Alpha, expressed confidence in NVIDIA’s upcoming earnings report, downplaying concerns about product rollouts and overheating issues, which he believes won’t significantly impact short-term performance. He also highlighted the broader AI market’s potential, emphasizing the importance of diversification in AI investments and expressing optimism about companies like Microsoft and Meta benefiting from AI advancements, despite potential regulatory challenges.

In a recent discussion, Doug Clinton, founder and CEO of Intelligent Alpha, shared insights on NVIDIA as investors anticipate the company’s upcoming earnings report. He highlighted the ongoing confidence in NVIDIA’s supply and demand dynamics, despite concerns regarding the rollout of new products and potential overheating issues. Clinton noted that while the previous quarter’s focus was on delays related to the Blackwell product line, the current quarter’s concerns are more limited and unlikely to significantly impact the earnings report.

Clinton emphasized that the overheating issue, while a topic of discussion, is not as severe as the previous delays. He suggested that even if the rollout of the top-tier server product is pushed back by a month or a quarter, it may not have a substantial effect on NVIDIA’s performance in the short term. However, he acknowledged that this could become a more pressing issue in the following year, as investors seek clarity on the company’s future prospects.

The conversation also touched on the broader implications of AI demand trends and the potential slowdown in AI model development. Clinton anticipated that NVIDIA’s CEO, Jensen Huang, would address questions regarding AI scaling laws, which have become a hot topic in the tech industry. Recent reports indicated that newer AI models have not met expectations, raising concerns about the sustainability of investment in AI technologies. Clinton stressed the importance of understanding how companies might need to diversify their spending beyond just computational resources.

When discussing the broader tech landscape, Clinton expressed optimism about companies like Microsoft and Meta, which are well-positioned to benefit from AI advancements. He noted that both companies are actively utilizing AI to enhance user engagement and drive revenue. Looking ahead, Clinton remains confident in the long-term prospects of an AI bull market, despite potential short-term pullbacks, as more companies begin to adopt AI technologies and realize their revenue potential.

Lastly, Clinton addressed the potential impact of policy and regulatory changes on the tech industry. He acknowledged that a change in administration could raise questions about the future scrutiny of big tech companies. However, he believes that the new administration’s approach will likely balance the need for competitive markets with the recognition of the importance of AI development. Clinton concluded that while there may be discussions about breaking up large tech companies, the likelihood of significant changes remains low, and any such actions could ultimately unlock value in the medium term.