Boeing, Cars on EU Tariff List; Nvidia AI Chips to China | Horizons Middle East & Africa 07/16/2025

The European Union has finalized tariffs on $84 billion of US goods, including Boeing aircraft and cars, amid ongoing trade tensions, while Nvidia will resume AI chip sales to China following US export assurances. Despite geopolitical and economic uncertainties, global markets show resilience, with notable developments including Tesla’s cautious entry into India, rising bond yields in Japan, and increased venture capital activity in the Middle East and North Africa.

The European Union has finalized a list of countermeasures targeting $84 billion worth of American goods, including Boeing aircraft, cars, and bourbon, in response to US tariffs. This move signals the EU’s expectation of a prolonged trade dispute with the US, as they prepare for potential 30% tariffs set to take effect on August 1. Meanwhile, President Trump has threatened to impose 100% tariffs on Russia if Vladimir Putin does not agree to a ceasefire deal in Ukraine within 50 days, while also pledging fresh weapons supplies to Kiev funded by NATO allies. In a surprising reversal, Nvidia announced it will resume sales of its AI chips to China after receiving assurances from Washington on export licenses, marking a significant development in US-China tech relations.

Financial markets are showing resilience despite geopolitical tensions and tariff uncertainties. Wall Street recently hit record highs with the S&P and Nasdaq reaching all-time closes, driven largely by strong earnings expectations, particularly in the technology sector. However, concerns remain over rising long-term bond yields globally, including in the US, Germany, and Japan, reflecting investor worries about inflation, fiscal deficits, and the economic impact of tariffs. The upcoming US CPI inflation report is highly anticipated, with expectations of a slight uptick that could influence Federal Reserve policy decisions.

In Asia, Japan is experiencing a notable rise in government bond yields, reaching record highs not seen in decades, prompting speculation about potential interest rate hikes by the Bank of Japan. Equity markets in the region showed initial gains but later reversed, with Chinese data revealing mixed signals—GDP slightly exceeding expectations but retail sales and property sectors underperforming. The cautious economic outlook in Asia contrasts with the ongoing recovery efforts in Mozambique, where momentum is building to resume operations on a massive LNG project halted by terrorist attacks, despite security risks.

Tesla has cautiously entered the Indian market by opening its first showrooms in Mumbai and New Delhi, marking a significant but measured step into the world’s third-largest auto market. The company is testing demand without establishing local manufacturing, facing challenges such as high import tariffs and limited charging infrastructure. Tesla’s high pricing in India restricts its potential customer base, reflecting the complexities of penetrating a competitive and price-sensitive market dominated by locally manufactured vehicles.

Venture capital activity in the Middle East and North Africa (MENA) region has nearly doubled in the first half of 2025, driven primarily by Saudi Arabia and the UAE. Government initiatives and sovereign wealth funds are fueling growth, with increased investor appetite for later-stage funding rounds such as Series A and B. Despite global market volatility and geopolitical uncertainties, including the Iran-Israel conflict, international investment interest in the region remains strong. Meanwhile, Saudi Arabia is conducting a strategic review of its ambitious Neom project, particularly the futuristic “Line” city, as part of broader efforts to rationalize and prioritize spending under its Vision 2030 plan amid ongoing budget deficits.