Ex-OpenAI Employee Reveals Scary Predictions For Super Intelligence

In the video, former OpenAI employee Leopold Ashenbrener shares predictions about the development of super intelligence, highlighting concerns around an intelligence explosion and the need for enhanced safety measures in AI development. He discusses the potential economic and military implications of AI outpacing human intelligence by 2030, emphasizing the importance of aligning AI systems with human values and incentives to ensure beneficial outcomes and the need for a coordinated effort to address the challenges associated with achieving super intelligence.

In the video, Leopold Ashenbrener, a former OpenAI employee, reveals his predictions for the development of super intelligence. He discusses the concept of an intelligence explosion, where AI systems rapidly surpass human intelligence, leading to the creation of super intelligent machines. Ashenbrener highlights the need for increased focus on safety and security protocols within AI development, especially as the race towards achieving AGI by 2027 and super intelligence by the end of the decade intensifies.

Ashenbrener emphasizes the significant investments being made in compute infrastructure, particularly in the development of trillion-dollar compute clusters and the challenges posed by the need for massive amounts of power to support these systems. He predicts that by 2030, AI systems will outpace human intelligence, leading to an era of super intelligence that will have decisive economic and military implications. The video delves into the potential risks and implications of AI development, especially in the context of global competition and security concerns.

The discussion also covers the importance of aligning AI systems with human values and incentives to ensure that super intelligent AI remains beneficial and aligned with human goals. Ashenbrener highlights the technical challenges of achieving alignment with super intelligent systems and the need for automated alignment research. He expresses optimism about the technical feasibility of solving the super alignment problem but stresses the importance of rigorous testing and monitoring throughout the process.

The video touches on the idea of a potential “AGI Manhattan Project” where the government would take a leading role in developing super intelligent AI systems to address national security concerns. Ashenbrener suggests that as the race towards super intelligence intensifies, the involvement of the National Security State will become crucial in managing the development and deployment of AI technologies. He underscores the need for a coordinated effort to navigate the complexities and challenges associated with the development of super intelligent AI.

Overall, the video presents a thought-provoking exploration of the potential future trajectory of AI development, raising important questions about the societal, security, and ethical implications of achieving super intelligence. Ashenbrener’s insights underscore the need for careful consideration and strategic planning in managing the risks and opportunities associated with advancing AI technologies towards super intelligence.