Fed Caution Lingers; Nvidia Wins US Approval to Sell H200 Chips in China | Bloomberg Brief 12/9/2025

The Bloomberg Brief highlights Paramount’s hostile takeover bid for Warner Bros. Discovery, creating uncertainty for Netflix, while Nvidia secures U.S. approval to sell H200 AI chips in China amid ongoing trade tensions. Additionally, the report covers Germany’s major military investments, potential use of frozen Russian assets for Ukraine, Federal Reserve policy impacts on market volatility, Greece’s role in European energy transit, and stable airline profitability forecasts for 2026.

The Bloomberg Brief opens with major market and geopolitical updates, highlighting a hostile takeover bid by Paramount for Warner Bros. Discovery, which threatens Netflix’s existing deal. Paramount’s all-cash offer of $30 per share has caused Paramount’s shares to surge, while Netflix is slightly on the back foot. Warner Bros. Discovery, the target company, has 10 days to respond, and the situation is expected to be dramatic and closely watched, with regulatory scrutiny likely due to antitrust concerns. The bidding war introduces uncertainty, with both Paramount and Netflix potentially sweetening their offers as the saga unfolds.

In technology news, Nvidia has received approval from the Trump administration to sell its H200 AI chips in China, a significant win for CEO Jensen Huang who has been lobbying against export restrictions. This approval comes with a 25% surcharge, which President Trump framed as a policy supporting American jobs and manufacturing. The move is seen as part of broader efforts to improve U.S.-China trade relations, including easing tariffs on soybeans. However, Trump is also threatening targeted tariffs on other countries over specific goods, reflecting ongoing trade tensions and the administration’s strategic use of tariffs.

The report also covers developments in European defense, focusing on Germany’s plans to approve €61 billion in military procurement contracts to strengthen its army, aiming to build Europe’s strongest conventional force. This marks a significant shift from years of underinvestment and has been praised by U.S. officials. The spending includes investments in infantry vehicles, air defense systems, and surveillance satellites, boosting confidence in German defense companies. Meanwhile, European leaders are reportedly close to a breakthrough on using frozen Russian assets to fund Ukraine’s war effort, a critical issue for Kyiv’s survival and negotiating position.

Market volatility and Federal Reserve policy are key themes as the Fed begins a two-day meeting. While a rate cut is widely expected, the focus is on the details of the Fed’s dot plot and any dissent among policymakers, which will influence market interpretation. Volatility expert Amy Silverman notes that the market has already priced in much of the expected moves, suggesting limited upside and a “grind” in market performance. She highlights the role of credit default swaps as a proxy for market anxiety and points to upcoming earnings, such as Oracle’s, as potential volatility triggers. The options market shows easing volatility levels, consistent with seasonal trends heading into the holidays.

Finally, the briefing includes an interview with Greece’s Deputy Prime Minister Kostis Hatzidakis, who discusses Greece’s ambitions to become a key gas transportation hub for Europe amid efforts to reduce reliance on Russian energy. The agreements to transport American LNG through Greece to Eastern and Central Europe are seen as geopolitically and economically significant, strengthening Greek-American relations. The conversation touches on broader cooperation in defense and energy sectors. The briefing closes with airline industry insights from IATA’s Willie Walsh, who forecasts stable profitability for airlines in 2026 despite supply chain challenges and regulatory pressures, emphasizing the importance of sustainable aviation fuel and the impact of currency fluctuations on travel demand.