How AI will solve aging - Longevity Escape Velocity by 2030

The video explores the concept of “longevity escape velocity” (LEV), suggesting that advancements in AI and biotechnology could enable humans to extend their lifespan at a rate greater than one year per year by 2030. It highlights significant progress in animal models, promising therapies, and the potential of AI and quantum computing to accelerate research, while also addressing societal and regulatory challenges that may impede these advancements.

The video discusses the concept of “longevity escape velocity” (LEV), which refers to the hypothetical scenario where the maximum lifespan of humans increases at a rate greater than one year per year. The speaker emphasizes the importance of understanding key terms such as lifespan, health span, and life expectancy. Lifespan is defined as the maximum time an organism can live, while health span refers to the period of vitality, and life expectancy is the median age of death in a population. The speaker argues that achieving LEV by 2030 is not only reasonable but also likely, given the advancements in research and technology.

The speaker highlights significant progress in animal models, where researchers have successfully extended the lifespan of various organisms, including mice, by up to 50%. This progress indicates that scientists are beginning to understand the genetic and metabolic pathways responsible for aging. The speaker believes that even if indefinite lifespan has not yet been achieved, increasing longevity by one year per year is feasible. The discussion also touches on the potential of quantum computing and artificial intelligence (AI) to accelerate research in longevity and aging.

AI is presented as a crucial tool in drug discovery and genetic research, with both general-purpose AI and narrow AI playing significant roles. The speaker mentions various AI systems, such as OpenAI’s models and Google’s AlphaFold, which can assist in understanding complex biological processes and accelerating the development of therapies. The combination of AI and quantum computing is expected to overcome computational bottlenecks that have previously hindered progress in longevity research, making it possible to run simulations that could lead to breakthroughs in understanding aging.

The video also outlines several promising therapies that have shown potential in extending lifespan in animal models, such as gene therapy and partial programming techniques. The speaker emphasizes that while these therapies have not yet been validated for humans, they represent a significant step toward achieving LEV. The discussion includes the potential for combination therapies that could work synergistically to enhance longevity, as well as the importance of personalized medicine in tailoring treatments to individual genetic profiles.

Finally, the speaker addresses the societal and regulatory barriers to achieving longevity advancements, particularly the reluctance of organizations like the FDA to classify aging as a disease. The speaker argues that societal attitudes toward death and aging may hinder progress, as some individuals may hold a belief that death is a natural and necessary part of life. Despite these challenges, the speaker remains optimistic that advancements in AI, biotechnology, and societal acceptance will ultimately lead to the realization of longevity escape velocity and improved health spans for future generations.